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  • Huizenga’s Warning: Afghanistan is once again a safe haven for terrorists, says U.S. Congressman Bill Huizenga.
  • ISIS-K Rising: ISIS-K is expanding its global reach and using AI-powered propaganda across multiple languages.
  • Security Vacuum: The Taliban can’t control the territory; Russia’s engagement is pragmatic but unlikely to change that.

Last month, during a congressional hearing in Washington, Republican Congressman Bill Huizenga—Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on South and Central Asia—issued a stark warning: “Afghanistan has once again become a hotbed for terrorists looking for safe harbors as they grow their ranks and abilities to project attacks across the region and, frankly, the world. His remarks reflect growing concern within the U.S. and allied security communities that the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISIS-K) has become the most dangerous jihadist entity outside of Africa, taking advantage of the vacuum left by the West’s withdrawal from Afghanistan.

ISIS-K has already demonstrated its transnational reach. In 2024 alone, it claimed or inspired attacks in Türkiye, Iran, and Russia. Several plots linked to the group were disrupted in Europe, including one targeting a Taylor Swift concert in Vienna. While the first half of 2025 has seen fewer attacks, the group remains extremely active in the digital domain. Its propaganda is produced in over a dozen languages—including Russian, English, Urdu, Turkish, Hindi, Uzbek, and Uyghur—and distributed across a wide range of platforms, from Telegram and TikTok to file archives and decentralized apps.

It is entirely plausible that ISIS-K and other Islamic State affiliates are already leveraging generative AI tools to automate and tailor propaganda for specific audiences across multiple countries. This new wave of personalized, algorithm-driven radicalization represents a force multiplier that may exponentially increase the risk of lone-actor violence.

Meanwhile, the Taliban—despite formally controlling Afghanistan—have failed to prevent the country from becoming a sanctuary for global jihadist networks. Russia’s recent diplomatic engagement with Kabul, and potentially similar moves by China, reflect pragmatic geopolitical interests rather than a real contribution to security stabilization. It remains unclear whether such overtures will have any meaningful impact on the worsening security environment.

Afghanistan is only one part of a larger picture. Terrorism is far from defeated. Groups like al-Shabaab in Somalia and Islamic State affiliates in the Sahel are expanding their operations. At the same time, terrorism is evolving: disinformation campaigns, hybrid extremist ideologies, drone warfare, and the use of generative AI and encrypted platforms all point to a radical transformation of how non-state actors plan and execute attacks.

With Western governments increasingly shifting their strategic focus toward great power competition and advanced technologies, there is a growing risk of underestimating the adaptability of jihadist movements. Once again, Afghanistan—under the shadow of ISIS-K—may be the warning light that the world ignores at its peril.